Scientists Imagine California's "Big One", Forecasters Predict Massive Quake Would Injure 50,000, Cost $200B - CBS News: "A real quake would yield different results from the scenario, which excludes possibilities such as fierce Santa Ana winds that could whip fires into infernos.
The scenario: The San Andreas Fault suddenly rumbles to life on Nov. 13, 2008, just after morning rush hour. The quake begins north of the U.S.-Mexican border near the Salton Sea and the fault ruptures for about 200 miles in a northwest direction ending near the high desert town of Palmdale about 40 miles north of downtown Los Angeles.
Scientists chose the scenario because it would create intense shaking in the Los Angeles Basin and neighboring counties - a region with nearly 22 million people.
The scenario will be released at a House Subcommittee on Energy and Mineral Resources meeting in Washington.
Here are the major elements:"
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